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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

data as of 2026-03-16 10:13 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$28K+$22K$6.1K
Holders257−18275
Trades3.1K−5703.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.5%
+15.8 pp
43.8%
Avg ROI1.1%
+1.5 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.82
−7.84×
×8.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.81
−6.70×
×7.52
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.6K
+$6.6K
$1.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.02
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL22.3%
+110.4 pp
-88.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.1 pp
98.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.4%
+0.0 pp
81.4%
Bot %81.5%
+3.3 pp
78.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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