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Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 30?

data as of 2026-04-30 04:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$52−$1.5K$1.5K
Holders32+329
Trades125+4283
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate26.7%
−62.2 pp
88.9%
Avg ROI27.4%
+28.9 pp
-1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.00
+11.01×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×29.47
+28.49×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$711
$716
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.27
0.70
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.7%
−98.6 pp
2.0%
Underwater %92.4%
+92.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %27.4%
+23.1 pp
4.3%
Bot %38.6%
+34.3 pp
4.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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