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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

data as of 2026-07-08 01:09 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$10K$20K
Holders312+1311
Trades3.2K+863.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.2%
−5.6 pp
49.9%
Avg ROI3.8%
+4.0 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×30.00
+29.38×
×0.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×30.81
+30.19×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.8K
−$9.3K
$19.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.04
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.6%
−155.2 pp
58.6%
Underwater %95.6%
+95.3 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.7%
−0.5 pp
42.2%
Bot %54.6%
−4.2 pp
58.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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