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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

data as of 2026-03-12 23:19 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$44K+$28K$16K
Holders340−39379
Trades3.5K−8924.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.3%
+18.0 pp
41.3%
Avg ROI176.5%
+174.9 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.62
−33.91×
×34.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.62
−34.81×
×35.43
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$25.6K
+$10.7K
$14.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.06
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL56.4%
+153.1 pp
-96.7%
Underwater %0.4%
−98.2 pp
98.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %77.8%
+2.0 pp
75.9%
Bot %80.0%
+2.5 pp
77.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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