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Will Mario Grech be the next pope?

data as of 2025-05-08 16:20 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$8.4K−$150K$158K
Holders525−1.5K2.0K
Trades14K+5.6K8.8K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.3%
−16.7 pp
67.0%
Avg ROI7.3%
+2.9 pp
4.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.47
+2.48×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.92
+2.92×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$153
$154
Recent buyer dominance0.51
−0.20
0.71
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-72.8%
−73.5 pp
0.7%
Underwater %98.8%
+98.4 pp
0.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.4%
−56.5 pp
62.9%
Bot %1.2%
−61.7 pp
62.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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