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Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 21?

data as of 2025-10-21 14:59 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$21K−$4.2K$25K
Holders32−133
Trades322+30292
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate27.1%
−27.0 pp
54.1%
Avg ROI12.6%
+12.0 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.52
−2.52×
×3.04
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.46
−2.49×
×2.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$255
−$797
$543
Recent buyer dominance0.38
−0.62
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL129.3%
+195.4 pp
-66.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.7%
−32.4 pp
87.1%
Bot %54.5%
−30.3 pp
84.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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