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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11PM ET

data as of 2025-10-26 03:47 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.1K−$6.4K$11K
Holders90+3159
Trades746−7291.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.4%
−25.9 pp
68.3%
Avg ROI7.5%
−0.3 pp
7.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×49.00
+48.41×
×0.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×38.35
+37.64×
×0.71
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$55
−$2.3K
$2.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.15
0.74
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.3%
−145.4 pp
48.1%
Underwater %91.0%
+90.9 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.2%
−14.4 pp
36.5%
Bot %22.6%
−13.9 pp
36.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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