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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4PM ET

data as of 2026-04-24 20:57 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K+$5.3K$9.8K
Holders104−7111
Trades2.0K+1391.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.3%
+5.0 pp
49.3%
Avg ROI-0.2%
+0.9 pp
-1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.52
−20.38×
×20.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.53
−19.65×
×20.19
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.3K
−$145
$1.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.65
−0.30
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL93.2%
+188.5 pp
-95.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.8 pp
99.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.4%
+10.5 pp
62.9%
Bot %74.7%
+25.3 pp
49.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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