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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-14 16:15 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K+$7.0K$6.6K
Holders153−1154
Trades1.5K−1441.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.6%
+0.2 pp
52.4%
Avg ROI2.2%
+1.6 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×645.68
+645.40×
×0.27
Top-20 avg cost vs price×609.63
+609.37×
×0.27
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.6K
+$6.8K
$1.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.03
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.8%
−344.5 pp
244.7%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.3%
−5.3 pp
53.6%
Bot %59.2%
−2.9 pp
62.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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