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Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?

data as of 2026-06-08 02:54 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jun 30, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
7¢
NO
93¢
YES
7¢
YesY-NNo
Position$334−$6.2K$6.5K
Holders32−638
Trades199+6193
NO
93¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.5%
−24.9 pp
83.4%
Avg ROI8.1%
+7.5 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.82
−0.20×
×1.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.80
−0.21×
×1.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14
−$227
$240
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.08
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL28.1%
+29.7 pp
-1.6%
Underwater %25.4%
−57.4 pp
82.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %9.5%
−27.3 pp
36.7%
Bot %9.5%
−37.9 pp
47.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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