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Will Warsh say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?

data as of 2026-07-21 08:05 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 29, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
6¢
NO
92¢
YES
6¢
YesY-NNo
Position$25+$6$19
Holders9+81
Trades11+101
NO
92¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.2%
+8.3 pp
28.9%
Avg ROI1.3%
+5.9 pp
-4.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.17
+0.17×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.21
+0.21×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$19
$19
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-17.3%
−17.3 pp
0.0%
Underwater %94.0%
+94.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.9%
+2.9 pp
0.0%
Bot %36.0%
+36.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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