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Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 15?

data as of 2026-07-13 06:44 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 15, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
30¢
NO
70¢
YES
30¢
YesY-NNo
Position$101−$80$182
Holders12−719
Trades37−138
NO
70¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.1%
−23.6 pp
60.6%
Avg ROI19.0%
+18.8 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.03
+0.03×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.05
+0.05×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$3
$5
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-4.8%
−4.8 pp
0.0%
Underwater %55.8%
+55.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %44.2%
+44.2 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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