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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-17 01:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.0K−$6.4K$8.4K
Holders126+7119
Trades1.2K+215984
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.2%
−11.7 pp
56.9%
Avg ROI6.1%
+2.8 pp
3.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.53
+12.68×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.96
+11.13×
×0.83
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$393
−$2.2K
$2.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.09
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.4%
−114.7 pp
21.4%
Underwater %85.2%
+85.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %44.1%
−7.5 pp
51.6%
Bot %41.4%
−20.5 pp
62.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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