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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

data as of 2026-05-12 03:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.9K+$5.3K$3.6K
Holders129+6123
Trades1.3K−971.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.3%
+10.2 pp
43.2%
Avg ROI0.9%
+2.9 pp
-2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.70
−28.63×
×29.33
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.71
−26.93×
×27.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.2K
+$3.2K
$1.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.01
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL43.2%
+139.4 pp
-96.3%
Underwater %0.1%
−96.7 pp
96.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.8%
−6.9 pp
79.7%
Bot %77.8%
−6.4 pp
84.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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