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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7AM ET

data as of 2026-07-01 12:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.2K−$3.5K$9.7K
Holders81081
Trades1.3K−431.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.5%
−4.4 pp
54.9%
Avg ROI-0.6%
+0.3 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×359.30
+358.66×
×0.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×366.35
+365.72×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$190
−$3.4K
$3.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.06
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.7%
−157.4 pp
57.7%
Underwater %99.2%
+98.9 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.6%
+4.9 pp
64.7%
Bot %69.4%
+4.8 pp
64.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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