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Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?

data as of 2025-09-09 17:42 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$516−$6.6K$7.1K
Holders52+2032
Trades339+29310
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.3%
−9.5 pp
63.7%
Avg ROI-3.9%
−6.1 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.23
+0.28×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.49
+0.53×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$62
+$363
−$426
Recent buyer dominance0.34
+0.00
0.34
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-19.1%
−23.3 pp
4.2%
Underwater %80.1%
+47.8 pp
32.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.7%
−50.5 pp
64.1%
Bot %12.2%
−51.9 pp
64.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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