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Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 4?

data as of 2026-05-03 15:24 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$62−$3.6K$3.7K
Holders54−1165
Trades290+136154
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate29.2%
−50.4 pp
79.6%
Avg ROI-3.9%
−3.8 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.54
+0.56×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.79
+0.81×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$151
$154
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-44.4%
−45.6 pp
1.2%
Underwater %96.9%
+91.2 pp
5.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.6%
+56.3 pp
1.4%
Bot %57.6%
+56.3 pp
1.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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