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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

data as of 2026-07-22 08:34 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K+$6.7K$5.5K
Holders298−89387
Trades1.5K−9152.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.4%
+7.5 pp
44.9%
Avg ROI0.6%
−1.4 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.77
−20.00×
×20.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.74
−18.72×
×19.47
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.4K
+$7.0K
$3.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.02
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL34.0%
+129.2 pp
-95.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−88.0 pp
88.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %23.8%
−1.5 pp
25.3%
Bot %53.5%
+14.9 pp
38.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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