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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

data as of 2026-05-14 19:43 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K+$10.0K$4.4K
Holders149−36185
Trades1.8K−471.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.7%
+11.6 pp
44.2%
Avg ROI-0.5%
−1.4 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.75
−26.36×
×27.11
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−26.47×
×27.21
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.0K
+$2.4K
$627
Recent buyer dominance0.71
−0.19
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL32.3%
+128.4 pp
-96.2%
Underwater %0.8%
−97.1 pp
97.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.4%
+2.9 pp
67.5%
Bot %74.5%
+3.4 pp
71.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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