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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

data as of 2026-07-10 08:36 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.9K−$24K$32K
Holders387+50337
Trades3.1K+3372.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.4%
−7.2 pp
53.5%
Avg ROI5.2%
+4.7 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.86
+18.08×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.77
+16.02×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.5K
−$18.4K
$21.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.03
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.0%
−125.1 pp
30.1%
Underwater %95.3%
+95.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.3%
−0.0 pp
29.3%
Bot %45.0%
−5.5 pp
50.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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