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Will Guy Pearce win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?

data as of 2025-03-03 00:32 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$589−$29K$29K
Holders69+1356
Trades563+43520
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.4%
−40.2 pp
83.6%
Avg ROI-0.7%
−0.3 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.03
+10.04×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×20.34
+19.36×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17
−$4.8K
$4.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.05
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.4%
−97.6 pp
2.1%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.6%
−30.2 pp
63.8%
Bot %36.8%
−27.0 pp
63.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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