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Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

data as of 2025-10-17 16:03 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$866−$26K$27K
Holders213+33180
Trades1.9K+1.4K484
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate21.3%
−48.7 pp
70.0%
Avg ROI-12.1%
−11.1 pp
-1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.68
+2.69×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.89
+1.90×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$120
$121
Recent buyer dominance0.74
−0.26
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-64.3%
−65.4 pp
1.1%
Underwater %92.6%
+81.1 pp
11.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.1%
−47.0 pp
55.2%
Bot %9.9%
−46.5 pp
56.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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