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Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 3+ times during Diwali Celebration events on October 21?

data as of 2025-10-21 20:19 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.2K+$1.1K$97
Holders14+410
Trades61+1348
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.0%
−0.7 pp
43.7%
Avg ROI-15.7%
−20.3 pp
4.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.02
+0.35×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.02
+0.31×
×0.71
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$214
+$260
−$46
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-1.7%
−47.0 pp
45.3%
Underwater %55.0%
+55.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %14.4%
+12.9 pp
1.5%
Bot %8.4%
+6.9 pp
1.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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