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Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?

data as of 2025-03-19 18:56 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$660−$29K$30K
Holders47+938
Trades564+108456
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.5%
−13.3 pp
70.8%
Avg ROI1.2%
−4.8 pp
5.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.79
−0.22×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.84
−0.17×
×1.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$147
−$191
$44
Recent buyer dominance0.20
−0.56
0.77
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL39.1%
+40.0 pp
-0.9%
Underwater %19.0%
−73.4 pp
92.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.1%
+2.3 pp
3.8%
Bot %11.7%
+7.9 pp
3.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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