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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

data as of 2026-04-28 01:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$26K−$283$26K
Holders510+96414
Trades6.0K−6226.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.3%
−9.7 pp
57.1%
Avg ROI6.0%
+3.2 pp
2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.97
+3.48×
×0.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.71
+2.23×
×0.48
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$24.7K
+$5.8K
$18.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.16
0.75
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-68.4%
−164.0 pp
95.6%
Underwater %75.9%
+75.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.9%
−17.6 pp
72.5%
Bot %51.5%
−22.9 pp
74.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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