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Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?

data as of 2026-07-02 17:03 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 14, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
97¢
NO
2¢
YES
97¢
YesY-NNo
Position$878+$780$99
Holders6−1016
Trades60−47107
NO
2¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate96.2%
+53.3 pp
42.9%
Avg ROI-0.4%
−6.3 pp
5.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−3.76×
×4.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−3.33×
×4.33
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$38
+$37
$1
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+77.1 pp
-77.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.8 pp
98.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−42.5 pp
42.5%
Bot %0.0%
−51.9 pp
51.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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