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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

data as of 2026-05-01 17:40 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$55K+$44K$11K
Holders318−70388
Trades2.2K−2382.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate84.6%
+30.9 pp
53.7%
Avg ROI0.9%
−4.0 pp
4.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.99
−0.01×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.96
+0.08×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$50.6K
+$48.3K
$2.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.02
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL10.9%
−6.7 pp
17.6%
Underwater %0.6%
−49.1 pp
49.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.2%
+1.1 pp
40.1%
Bot %39.8%
−0.9 pp
40.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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