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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

data as of 2026-02-28 04:13 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$11K$21K
Holders250−13263
Trades3.3K−1893.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.3%
−13.8 pp
58.1%
Avg ROI0.9%
−4.0 pp
4.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.77
+17.12×
×0.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.49
+15.85×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.1K
−$8.0K
$11.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.07
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.0%
−144.8 pp
50.8%
Underwater %98.5%
+98.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %77.7%
+3.6 pp
74.2%
Bot %77.1%
+3.5 pp
73.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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