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Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

data as of 2026-01-16 20:32 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$218−$86K$86K
Holders35−69104
Trades643+283360
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.0%
−51.3 pp
94.2%
Avg ROI36.4%
+17.0 pp
19.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.58
−0.85×
×1.43
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.52
−0.90×
×1.43
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$92
−$17.1K
$17.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.07
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL96.9%
+126.7 pp
-29.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.8 pp
99.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.2%
−16.9 pp
19.0%
Bot %1.2%
−17.6 pp
18.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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