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Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 3?

data as of 2026-05-03 11:02 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$216−$11K$11K
Holders94−33127
Trades1.0K+153879
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.6%
−54.9 pp
85.4%
Avg ROI9.3%
+9.4 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.23
+0.23×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.34
+0.35×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$51
$51
Recent buyer dominance0.68
−0.32
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-25.7%
−26.0 pp
0.3%
Underwater %76.3%
+62.0 pp
14.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.5%
−6.4 pp
10.8%
Bot %4.5%
−5.8 pp
10.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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