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Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 15:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$389−$1.1K$1.5K
Holders67+1750
Trades373+124249
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.9%
−6.8 pp
51.6%
Avg ROI6.7%
+6.3 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.33
+12.59×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.24
+17.53×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$352
−$1.0K
$1.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.02
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.7%
−135.2 pp
40.5%
Underwater %91.6%
+91.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.9%
−11.4 pp
60.3%
Bot %47.9%
−18.5 pp
66.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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