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Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in July?

data as of 2026-07-01 15:19 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Aug 1, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
4¢
NO
96¢
YES
4¢
YesY-NNo
Position$20+$20$0
Holders4+40
Trades5+41
NO
96¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.7%
+44.7 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI3.1%
+3.1 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.50
+1.50×
×0.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.38
+1.38×
×0.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20
+$32
−$12
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-27.4%
−27.4 pp
0.0%
Underwater %75.5%
+75.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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