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Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

data as of 2026-01-08 06:10 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.0K−$65K$66K
Holders136−56192
Trades2.7K+2292.4K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.1%
−53.4 pp
89.5%
Avg ROI45.1%
+36.4 pp
8.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.00
+4.02×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.87
+3.89×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$210
$211
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-79.0%
−80.6 pp
1.6%
Underwater %98.9%
+98.7 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.9%
−29.9 pp
59.7%
Bot %29.9%
−29.3 pp
59.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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