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Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 4–11?

data as of 2025-07-10 16:30 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$6.2K−$61K$68K
Holders248−547795
Trades4.6K+1.7K2.8K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.6%
−35.3 pp
76.9%
Avg ROI0.9%
−21.0 pp
21.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.09
+14.16×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.06
+17.11×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$714
$716
Recent buyer dominance0.67
−0.20
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.5%
−100.0 pp
5.5%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.8%
−37.8 pp
73.6%
Bot %36.9%
−36.8 pp
73.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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