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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

data as of 2026-06-23 21:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.2K−$4.9K$8.1K
Holders130+3127
Trades1.6K+3401.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.2%
−12.6 pp
59.9%
Avg ROI3.1%
−1.1 pp
4.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×25.17
+24.42×
×0.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×22.58
+21.82×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.1K
−$3.4K
$4.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.86
−0.08
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.6%
−128.7 pp
33.1%
Underwater %99.5%
+99.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.5%
−1.8 pp
70.3%
Bot %78.0%
−4.1 pp
82.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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