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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

data as of 2026-02-22 21:39 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$37K+$33K$4.8K
Holders255−46301
Trades2.5K−6893.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.2%
+25.5 pp
35.7%
Avg ROI0.8%
−8.8 pp
9.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−53.40×
×54.18
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.78
−54.74×
×55.52
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.6K
+$5.0K
$645
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.07
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL29.2%
+127.9 pp
-98.7%
Underwater %1.8%
−97.7 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.3%
+35.5 pp
40.8%
Bot %76.3%
+36.8 pp
39.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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