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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

data as of 2026-07-26 08:48 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.1K+$4.9K$3.2K
Holders190−65255
Trades985−1771.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.1%
+4.1 pp
48.0%
Avg ROI1.3%
+1.5 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.70
−12.02×
×12.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.69
−10.81×
×11.50
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.9K
+$3.7K
$3.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.06
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL44.5%
+136.8 pp
-92.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−95.7 pp
95.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %39.0%
+16.4 pp
22.6%
Bot %61.6%
+14.3 pp
47.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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