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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

data as of 2026-04-29 20:10 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$22K$35K
Holders397+58339
Trades3.7K+4863.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.9%
−15.6 pp
63.5%
Avg ROI0.0%
−1.3 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.98
+15.45×
×0.54
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.30
+15.61×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.3K
−$6.6K
$17.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.01
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.1%
−148.3 pp
55.2%
Underwater %91.3%
+66.8 pp
24.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %66.8%
+2.3 pp
64.5%
Bot %69.5%
−0.3 pp
69.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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