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Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on May 5?

data as of 2026-05-05 10:10 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$113−$2.7K$2.8K
Holders44−246
Trades173+53120
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate25.7%
−59.8 pp
85.5%
Avg ROI3.0%
−0.8 pp
3.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.00
+8.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.92
+7.99×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8
−$534
$542
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.01
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.0%
−96.4 pp
7.4%
Underwater %77.7%
+77.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %21.4%
+9.6 pp
11.8%
Bot %38.0%
+26.2 pp
11.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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