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Will Kamala Harris announce Presidential run by December 31?

data as of 2026-01-01 06:32 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$499−$8.1K$8.6K
Holders59+3821
Trades325+112213
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.7%
−41.0 pp
79.6%
Avg ROI218.1%
+213.2 pp
4.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×22.35
+21.39×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×21.98
+21.02×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
+$35
−$32
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.2%
−99.2 pp
4.0%
Underwater %89.0%
+89.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.5%
+66.7 pp
7.8%
Bot %75.9%
+68.1 pp
7.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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