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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

data as of 2026-02-19 17:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K−$15K$35K
Holders529+93436
Trades5.8K−2036.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.3%
−6.6 pp
53.9%
Avg ROI10.6%
+12.7 pp
-2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×22.28
+21.77×
×0.52
Top-20 avg cost vs price×19.86
+19.30×
×0.56
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18.7K
−$1.8K
$20.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.06
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.0%
−172.7 pp
77.7%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %52.6%
−24.7 pp
77.3%
Bot %51.3%
−24.2 pp
75.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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