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Will Elon tweet 225–239 times June 27–July 4?

data as of 2025-07-02 16:14 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.0K−$49K$51K
Holders223−66289
Trades5.2K+2.3K2.8K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.9%
−37.3 pp
77.2%
Avg ROI60.6%
+52.3 pp
8.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.94
+0.94×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.77
+0.77×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8
−$336
$344
Recent buyer dominance0.59
−0.32
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-49.7%
−50.8 pp
1.1%
Underwater %86.1%
+59.3 pp
26.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %21.4%
−49.1 pp
70.4%
Bot %18.5%
−51.2 pp
69.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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