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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

data as of 2026-04-19 18:34 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$16K$26K
Holders422+61361
Trades4.0K+5323.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.1%
−6.8 pp
52.9%
Avg ROI6.7%
+4.6 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×29.09
+28.38×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×23.83
+23.14×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.2K
−$8.1K
$17.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.02
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.5%
−141.9 pp
45.4%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.7%
−14.7 pp
76.4%
Bot %64.1%
−14.0 pp
78.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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