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Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 3?

data as of 2026-05-02 16:34 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$86−$579$665
Holders28−1139
Trades97−8105
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.6%
−27.5 pp
70.1%
Avg ROI11.1%
+11.1 pp
-0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.83
+2.11×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.16
+1.42×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6
−$31
$37
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.11
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-46.9%
−81.2 pp
34.3%
Underwater %75.3%
+72.3 pp
2.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %14.3%
−3.2 pp
17.5%
Bot %14.4%
−3.2 pp
17.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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