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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 4?

data as of 2026-07-02 04:13 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 4, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
8¢
NO
84¢
YES
8¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2−$15$17
Holders2−13
Trades2−13
NO
84¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.1%
−24.6 pp
81.7%
Avg ROI32.3%
+29.7 pp
2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.11×
×1.11
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.09×
×1.09
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$10
$11
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+8.7 pp
-8.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−88.4 pp
88.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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