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Will Trump lower tariffs on China next?

data as of 2025-04-10 13:37 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$630−$21K$22K
Holders52−355
Trades837+77760
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.9%
−16.4 pp
55.3%
Avg ROI3.6%
+0.9 pp
2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.77
+0.79×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.92
+0.94×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$199
$203
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.14
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-45.6%
−47.4 pp
1.8%
Underwater %73.9%
+63.1 pp
10.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %10.9%
−67.3 pp
78.2%
Bot %9.6%
−68.6 pp
78.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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