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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 3?

data as of 2026-04-02 19:15 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$11−$4.6K$4.6K
Holders31−334
Trades330+25773
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.9%
−37.5 pp
86.4%
Avg ROI94.6%
+93.9 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+1.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.42
+2.43×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
+$0
$0
Recent buyer dominance0.50
+0.50
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-70.6%
−70.9 pp
0.3%
Underwater %96.8%
+91.6 pp
5.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %39.8%
+30.2 pp
9.7%
Bot %45.3%
+35.6 pp
9.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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