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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-27 03:43 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$28K+$23K$4.2K
Holders347−24371
Trades2.0K−2982.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.3%
+0.9 pp
58.4%
Avg ROI2.2%
−6.7 pp
8.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.93
−2.48×
×3.41
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.93
−2.89×
×3.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$21.4K
+$17.6K
$3.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.04
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL10.2%
+90.5 pp
-80.3%
Underwater %25.5%
−54.4 pp
79.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.2%
+12.4 pp
15.9%
Bot %51.8%
+21.9 pp
29.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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