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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

data as of 2026-04-22 04:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K−$25K$46K
Holders444+38406
Trades6.0K+4355.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.6%
−11.2 pp
56.8%
Avg ROI4.2%
+1.4 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×37.25
+36.66×
×0.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×33.14
+32.53×
×0.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20.6K
−$14.2K
$34.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.06
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.9%
−153.7 pp
56.8%
Underwater %96.5%
+96.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.2%
−5.1 pp
73.3%
Bot %73.2%
−6.8 pp
80.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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