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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

data as of 2026-01-08 05:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$40K−$15K$55K
Holders319+23296
Trades5.4K+7664.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.4%
−6.5 pp
49.9%
Avg ROI19.8%
+5.4 pp
14.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.00
+11.50×
×0.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.02
+11.52×
×0.49
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20.6K
+$7.6K
$13.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.12
0.78
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.6%
−193.3 pp
101.7%
Underwater %97.3%
+97.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.1%
−3.3 pp
70.4%
Bot %55.7%
−14.3 pp
70.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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